鲸鱼优化支持向量机的短期风电功率预测

为提高风电预测的精度,提出一种鲸鱼优化支持向量机SVM(support vector machine)的组合预测模型。该模型针对风电序列的非平稳波动特性,首先应用集合经验模态分解技术EEMD(ensemble empirical mode de?composition)将原始风电序列分解为一系列不同特征尺度的子序列;并引入鲸鱼优化算法WOA(whales optimiza?tion algorithm)解决SVM中学习参数选择难的问题,进而对各子序列建立WOA_SVM预测模型;最后,叠加各子序列的预测值以得到最终预测值。仿真表明,所提EEMD_WOA_SVM模型具有较高的风电预测精度,显著优于其他基本模型。     

Systematic convergence of nonlinear stochastic estimators on the Special Orthogonal Group SO(3)

This paper introduces two novel nonlinear stochastic attitude estimators developed on the Special Orthogonal Group with the tracking error of the normalized Euclidean distance meeting predefined transient and steady‐state characteristics. The tracking error is confined to initially start within a predetermined large set such that the transient performance is guaranteed to obey dynamically reducing boundaries and decrease smoothly and asymptotically to the origin in probability from almost any initial condition. The proposed estimators produce accurate attitude estimates with remarkable convergence properties using measurements obtained from low‐cost inertial measurement units. The estimators proposed in continuous form are complemented by their discrete versions for the implementation purposes. The simulation results illustrate the effectiveness and robustness of the proposed estimators against uncertain measurements and large initialization error, whether in continuous or discrete form.     

基于TRIZ理论滤咀排列鼓工装夹具优化设计

针对滤咀排列鼓工装夹具所存在的制造难度大,精度难于保证,效率低的问题。利用TRIZ理论进行分析,根据技术矛盾解决方法并结合问题的实际情况,获得了具体可行的解决方案。经过实践证明,此设计方案是可行的、可靠的,大大缩短了夹具的加工周期,提高了生产效率,节约了成本。     

考虑变幂数的畸变动力学相似试验模型设计方法及试验研究

动力学相似理论广泛应用于大型结构的振动试验，其中畸变相似用于解决结构的设计参数不满足等比例缩放时的相似问题，针对畸变相似关系中幂数为定值导致预测精度低的问题，提出考虑变幂数的畸变动力学相似试验模型设计方法。首先，在敏感性分析与中心差分理论推导的幂数表达式的基础上，将中心差分的范围不断扩大得到一组随相似比变化的幂数。采用最小二乘法将这组幂数拟合为关于相似比的函数并建立相似关系。然后，在多盘转子系统的数值算例中将变幂数法与文献中的两种方法进行对比，结果表明，变幂数法的预测精度较文献中的方法有很大提高。最后，通过试验研究验证了数值算例中动力学模型及临界转速求解的正确有效性。相似关系的建立是以模型的临界转速为基础，因此也验证了数值算例中的相似预测结果。     

Development of a fast atom beam gun for surface-activated bonding

Surface-activated bonding (SAB), also called room-temperature bonding, is used in three-dimensional integration technology for semiconductor devices. An Ar fast atom beam (FAB) is used for SAB. However, conventional FAB guns must be replaced after hundreds of minutes of irradiation because carbon abrasion powders are generated by Ar ions sputtering in the gun. Therefore, this study develops a novel FAB gun with improved lifetime. The proposed FAB gun applies magnetic fields to guide Ar ions to reduce sputtering in the gun and improve irradiation efficiency. The proposed FAB gun indicates the possibility of improving gun lifetime.     

Process-induced variability modeling of subthreshold leakage power considering device stacking

The dominance of leakage currents in circuit design has been impelled by steady downscaling of MOSFET into nanometer regime, and has become a significant component of total IC power dissipation. The issue is further aggravated with the inability to gauge the tolerance of process parameters around their nominal value. Consequently, the drive to improve the static power prediction has enticed accurate and reliable modeling of leakage current, specifically for ultralow power applications. In contrast to gate- and band-to-band-tunneling leakages, subthreshold leakage exhibits high susceptibility to process variations and hence has been considered for variability modeling. Fluctuations in the device electrical and geometry parameters result in a wider distribution of subthreshold leakage current. Hence, taking into account stacking effect, an analytical variability model to estimate subthreshold leakage power in subthreshold circuits, in the presence of threshold voltage variations is proposed. Further, the impact of threshold voltage variability on subthreshold leakage power is modeled in conjunction with simultaneous variations in gate length and width. The leakage power variability is characterized by model-generated distributions obtained using Monte Carlo analysis and validated against SPICE simulations. The proposed model is about 700 computationally faster than SPICE simulations with mean error being less than 0.19%.     

Reducing cycling costs in coal fired power plants through power to hydrogen

The increase of renewable share in the energy generation mix makes necessary to increase the flexibility of the electricity market. Thus, fossil fuel thermal power plants have to adapt their electricity production to compensate these fluctuations. Operation at partial load means a significant loss of efficiency and important reduction of incomes from electricity sales in the fossil power plant. Among the energy storage technologies proposed to overcome these problems, Power to Gas (PtG) allows for the massive storage of surplus electricity in form of hydrogen or synthetic natural gas. In this work, the integration of a Power to Gas system (50 MWe) with fossil fuel thermal power plants (500 MWe) is proposed to reduce the minimum complaint load and avoid shutdowns. This concept allows a continuous operation of power plants during periods with low demand, avoiding the penalty cost of shutdown. The operation of the hybrid system has been modelled to calculate efficiencies, hydrogen and electricity production as a function of the load of the fossil fuel power plant. Results show that the utilisation of PtG diminishes the specific cost of producing electricity between a 20% and 50%, depending on the framework considered (hot, warm and cold start-up). The main contribution is the reduction of the shutdown penalties rather than the incomes from the sale of the hydrogen. At the light of the obtained results, the hybrid system may be implemented to increase the cost-effectiveness of existing fossil fuel power plants while adapting the energy mix to high shares of variable renewable electricity sources.     

计及损耗的双馈感应风力发电机高电压穿越控制策略

利用换向原理分析其电磁暂态特性，在此基础上，对DFIG输出无功功率与其铜损耗的解析关系进行了理论分析，推导出了使铜损耗最低的DFIG输出无功功率最优参考值。同时，转子的瞬时功率补偿分量减小了DC总线电压的波动，从而减少了转换器的功率损耗。由此，提出了考虑DFIG铜损和转换器损耗的DFIG高电压穿越控制策略。仿真结果表明，该控制策略可以在保证DFIG高电压穿越能力的同时降低DFIG铜损耗与换流器损耗，并具有较好的暂态特性。     

单相并联型有源电力滤波器主电路参数耦合关系研究

单相并联型有源电力滤波器(SAPF)主电路参数之间存在一定的耦合关系,这对各参数值的合理选择有较大的影响。通过分析现有单/三相SAPF主电路交流侧电感以及直流侧电压、电容值等参数的计算方法,得到了具体的单相SAPF电路参数解析表达式。针对所得表达式各变量之间的耦合关系,在MATLAB中进行建模优化分析,得出一套完整的参数设计方案。保证在特定负载下补偿后谐波含量低于2%的综合优化目标。仿真和实验过程验证了所选参数的正确性。     

太赫兹可调谐滤波器设计

为了实现太赫兹信号的可调谐滤波，设计了一种基于柔性材料的太赫兹可调谐滤波器。通过扭曲特氟龙（Teflon）波导形成环型谐振器，实现了160～200 GHz频段的带阻滤波功能。改变谐振腔长可实现自由频谱范围（FSR）和滤波频点的调谐，实验测试了自由频谱范围在1.9 GHz和2.8 GHz间切换以及相应的滤波特性。研究表明，谐振腔长一定时，改变弯曲半径可实现滤波阻带抑制度的调节，柔性材料太赫兹环型谐振器可用于可调谐滤波，且具有较高的自由度。